Weekly
Reports
Context behind the numbers, the key variables at play, with every source cited.
We do the research, you make the call.
Free weekly research on prediction markets, straight to your inbox. Get the read before the crowd does.
Everything you need to take a position with confidence.
Weekly
Market
DocumentariesInvestigations into what's actually driving a market, told in a way that's worth watching.
Outcome
AccountabilityOur portfolio is on the line with every position we cover. The Saygun record is public and updated regularly.
Win rateLast 24 calls76%
Win Loss PendingIllustrative
Sample Intelligence
The depth and quality of research to be expected in your inbox every week. Every source cited, every outcome tracked.
report
Politics
Who will the US Government take a stake in?
With global rivals heavily subsidizing their own advanced tech sectors, U.S. policymakers view direct ownership as a necessary weapon to ensure next-generation computing infrastructure is built and protected at home.
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Politics17.20%
Colombia Presidential Election
The 2026 election serves as a direct, high-stakes referendum on the legacy of outgoing President Gustavo Petro, the first left-wing leader in the nation's history.
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Politics30.12%
Peru Presidential Election Winner
For decades, the nation has struggled with a political system that lacks real parties, leading to weak leaders and constant fights between the president and Congress.
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Politics
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Many see this election as a direct referendum on the country's democratic future and its increasingly complicated ties to both the European Union and Russia.
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Politics120%
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude?
Most people assume the AI race comes down to ChatGPT versus Gemini. That's the public perception. The reality inside enterprise boardrooms and research institutions is different.
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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
The nominee will be whoever can best convince a fractured coalition that they possess the specific temperament needed to dismantle the MAGA movement while offering a tangible economic alternative.
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Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
he Republican Party has evolved into a complex coalition of factions ranging from populist 'America First' loyalists to Libertarian-leaning fiscal hawks, each demanding a leader who can balance ideological fervor with the pragmatic requirements of governance.
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Politics38.89%
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
The definition of 'capturing' a city is getting complicated in Ukraine. While official maps might show Huliaipole under Russian control, the reality on the ground is a volatile gray zone where neither side can stay for long.
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Politics51.52%
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027
To them, the future isn't in a united Canada, but in a strategic partnership with the United States that respects Alberta's economic value.
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Politics
China coup attempt before 2027
Xi Jinping is officially out of friends in high places. The January 24 announcement that General Zhang Youxia and General Liu Zhenli are under investigation is more than just another purge.
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Politics
Will Anduril go public before 2027
It’s a question that gets to the heart of how much the defense industry is actually changing. Most legacy defense giants rely on government funding for their research and stick to safe, cost-plus contracts, but Anduril works differently.
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Politics
Will the US Confirm the existence of Aliens before 2027
The revelation that aliens exist and have visited Earth would fundamentally shift our understanding of our place in the universe.
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Politics
Venezuela's Leader at the end of 2026
Operation Absolute Resolve took less than three hours to dismantle a decade of autocratic rule, leaving the United States and specifically Marco Rubio holding the keys to a country with the world's largest oil reserves.
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Politics19.05%
Costa Rica Presidential Election
The opposition is scattered, the institutions are weak, and the continuity candidate has both populist appeal and governing credentials.
Small Team, Deep Research
We're an independent research team with 15+ years across emerging industries. We came together over a mutual captivation: when thousands of people put money behind their beliefs, they cut through political spin and corporate agendas to reach truth that institutions miss. That fascinates us, and we're here to document it.
Our team has worked with Founders Fund, Anduril, Hulu, Binance, Titan, Nike.
How Prediction Markets Pay
Every contract settles at $1 or $0. Move the odds and see what a position is worth.
UnlikelyNear certain
Payout if you're right
$250.00
Net profit
$150.00
Multiplier
2.50×
Return
150%
Share price
40¢
Illustrative only. Ignores fees and spreads. Not financial advice.
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Subscribe for FreeCommon questions, straight answers.
We focus on prediction markets, where people put real money behind their beliefs. That financial stake creates better signal than hot takes or pundit opinions. We do the research, find the context, and explain what the markets are actually pricing. No hype, just what we're seeing.
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